Confessions of a Lukewarmist

By Rady Ananda

Jan. 27, 2012 Today, the Wall Street Journal published a letter from 16 distinguished scientists addressed to political candidates entitled, No Need to Panic About Global Warming.

“Perhaps the most inconvenient fact is the lack of global warming for well over 10 years now,” they write, a fact that “is known to the warming establishment…”

The piece directly attacks the notion that carbon dioxide emissions are warming the globe, concluding with:

“Every candidate should support rational measures to protect and improve our environment, but it makes no sense at all to back expensive programs that divert resources from real needs and are based on alarming but untenable claims of ‘incontrovertible’ evidence.”

The term ‘incontrovertible’ refers to a policy statement of the American Physical Society which states, “The evidence is incontrovertible: Global warming is occurring.”

These guys are no lightweights. The group includes a Nobel Prize-winning physicist, the aerospace engineer who designed Voyager, past and present editors of scientific journals; professors from Princeton, Cambridge and MIT, and the president of the World Federation of Scientists.

This letter propels my shift from ardent warmist to lukewarmist, to, eventually, full blown skeptic, it seems.

In 2006, I was amused at the irony of my global warming action on a street corner in frigid temperatures, though I understood that anecdotal data is not a mathematically sound method of discerning trends. A slick patch of ice at the curb prompted warnings from me that people heeded probably far more than my warmist sign. My inner sadist was even more amused when people didn’t absorb my ice patch warning, though I still feel a little guilty by the hurt look in one guy’s eyes when he caught me snickering as he slip-slided away.

My own doubts about global warming did not begin until Climategate 2009, when the University of East Anglia was caught publishing false data showing temperature increases. Significant errors in a report by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), where it grossly exaggerated glacial retreat, also raised a question.

But I held fast to the belief that global warming must be real because forests are being denuded, deserts are growing, mass tracts of prairie and wetlands are being converted to asphalt and concrete, and the toxicity of our atmosphere is directly attributable to 150 years of military and industrial pollution.

In 2010, an independent investigative body told the IPCC to stop lobbying on behalf of global warming programs. Members of the IPCC were also ordered to reveal their financial connections to such programs. In the end, the warmists were found innocent of any wrongdoing.

Cognitive dissonance is bearable with topics that seem remote. But because chemtrails feel like a more immediate threat than global warming, IPCC promotion of geoengineering strengthened my doubts about warming.

In UN Climate Concern Morphs into Chemtrail Glee Club (Dec. 2010), I wrote of the connections between Indian businessman and economist, Rajendra Pachauri, who chairs the IPCC. In his comments at Cancun’s opening ceremony, he stated, “The scope of the AR5 has also been expanded over and above previous reports, and would include, for instance, focused treatment of subjects like clouds and aerosols, geo-engineering options,” and the usual climate related issues.

A close look at Pachauri revealed his extensive interests in companies that stand to benefit from geoengineering schemes. In the Science and Public Policy Institute’s April 2010 investigative report entitled, “Dr Rajendra Pachauri and the IPCC – No Fossil Fool,” Pachauri is criticized for using his IPCC position “to attract major funding to his own organization, The Energy and Resources Institute (TERI).”

The IPCC’s assertion that Himalayan glaciers would melt by 2035 “was based on a decade-old interview of one climate scientist in a science magazine, The New Scientist,” which apparently misquoted him, reported the NYTimes in January 2010. The scientist, Dr. Syed Hasnain, is a glacier specialist who works at Pachauri’s TERI research institute.

But my doubts did not develop into full blown skepticism until Climategate 2.0, when the November 2011 leaked emails showed that IPCC scientists discussed manipulating the data to agree with policy, and began deleting their emails.

“The science is being manipulated to put a political spin on it which for all our sakes might not be too clever in the long run,” wrote one IPCC scientist, Peter Thorne.

From journalist Andrew Orlowski’s first look at the Climategate 2.0 emails:

“To their credit, some of the climate scientists realised the dangers of the selective approach politicians demanded, which meant cherry-picking evidence to make it suitably dramatic, and quietly hiding caveats. ‘We need to communicate the uncertainty and be honest,” pleads Thorne, in another email from 2005. Thorne noted that a telltale ‘signature’ of greenhouse gas warming was absent. ‘Observations do not show rising temperatures throughout the tropical troposphere unless you accept one single study and approach and discount a wealth of others. This is just downright dangerous.’”

Charges of intellectual corruption stem from the fact that the IPCC did not clarify that its conclusions were based on a fair amount of uncertainty: the data was based “on modern temperature trends and historical temperature reconstructions,” Orlowski summarized. With that speculative data as its starting point, models were then built to predict future temperature trends and impacts, which East Anglia climatologist Phil Jones describes as “all wrong” in one of the leaked emails.

But what is most shocking to me is that those scientists deliberately deleted emails to hide their uncertainty from the public. No doubt that is what triggered someone to snag them before the evidence disappeared.

Global Warming Initiatives

Like 95% of the public, I’m reliant on scientific integrity, no matter how wary I am of corporations and governments. As I morph from science-educated warmist to skeptic, I follow a variety of sources to give myself the best chance of ascertaining the truth of climate change. The models presented in college made logical sense, but, I have since learned, failed to include decades of deliberately altering the atmosphere with aerosols aimed at altering the weather.

No one at Ohio State mentioned the 1977 United Nations ban on hostile environmental modification programs enacted after the US chemtrailed Vietnam, Laos and Cambodia, creating deluge after deluge. I doubt the school mentions to undergraduates the 2010 ban on “friendly” ENMOD programs, either, despite the incredibly toxic effects of these programs.

While industry-funded organizations posing as populist fronts continue to deny decades of geoengineering activities, simple logic refutes this. The UN would not ban fictional activities based on conspiracy theories. They have hard evidence. Some of that evidence led the UN’s World Meteorological Organization to complain in 2007, “In recent years there has been a decline in the support for weather modification research, and a tendency to move directly into operational projects.”

When governments actually admit to chemtrails, they advise it is done to combat global warming, to provide rain or drought as needed, or to weaken or redirect hurricanes and other storms.

The extent of government-industry deception over climate and ENMOD is deeply disturbing, while indisputably toxic drilling on land and sea remains legal. Hypocrisy can be cynically amusing, but overturned paradigms can be emotionally devastating.

While warmists may eventually be proven correct that industrial pollution is warming the planet and changing its climate, honest climatologists at the IPCC admit that the evidence is not yet solid.

While watching Fargo, my college roommate, who delivered newspapers in Cleveland during the wee hours of the morning, repeatedly replayed the scene where a kid tosses a paper from his bike, causing it to slide out from under him. She bellowed with laughter. I think her inner sadist is bigger than mine. I also think Frances McDormand is one of the most talented actors in Hollywood, though she did attend an Oscar party in 2006 to benefit “global warming initiatives.”

It is those initiatives that concern me the most. Geoengineering deliberately alters the chemistry of the sky and seas. Regardless of whether humans have suicidally warmed the planet, the last thing we need to do is pile more pollution on top of what the military-industrial complex has already pummeled the biosphere with.

© Rady Ananda 2012. All rights reserved. This article first appeared at Activist Post.

9 responses to “Confessions of a Lukewarmist

  1. Pingback: Confessions of a Lukewarmist | The GOLDEN RULE

  2. respect the science

    what did climategate reveal? nothing.
    climategate 2? nothing.

    http://respectthescience.org.au/get-the-facts/

    • but that piece says “Greater CO2 concentrations lead to higher temperatures.”

      That’s the point specifically refuted by scientist skeptics.

      your link lays out the info like it’s rock solid indisputable fact, when in reality, even IPCC scientists admitted in their leaked emails that a lot of uncertainty remains.

      All we want is the truth; we don’t need government propaganda.

  3. I still personally prefer climate change as a moniker, because I think the warming, although questionable to some, is not as static as assumed. Some places are going to become the opposite of what they are now, temp. wise, and so forth. Climate change has more to do with fluctuations not just in the ppm CO2, but other variabilities as well, such as the jet stream, magnetics, etc. But I am certainly no scientist…just an informed Druid.🙂

  4. http://iceagenow.info/2012/02/himalayas-lost-ice-10-years-study-shows/#comment-14717

    this ones another beauty.
    they have been insisting the himalayas etc are melting, already found to have used non professional comment to state in IPCC reports as fact. patchys Voodoo science derogation backfired big time on that one:-)
    they Have had the tech to be able to have done this flyover and track for bloody ages.
    but
    they’d rather use a few low lying sensors and rely on models created by ill informed biased modellers with vested interests.
    and now?
    oh gee!
    we’re surprised to find that with some actual REAL DATA theres bugger all change and all the claims are up sh*t creek as far as truth goes.

    Will their be a Mainstream worldwide RETRACTION!!!! of all the crap spun on this?
    lets say I am not holding my breath.

    oh and have a read of this one, seems the Germans are no longer willing to shut up or lie.
    http://iceagenow.info/2012/02/germanys-leading-daily-unloads-%e2%80%9cco2-lies%e2%80%9d/

    and for a final chuckle:-)
    I hear the german activists are staging protests and want transmission lines to power supply storages Banned.
    whats so funny?
    the power is from the massively subsidised fairly useless wind power units they just spent Billions installing, that either dont supply or Overload their grids.

  5. Just to play the naive devil’s advocate – what is the actual problem ya’ll are yaking about: that the planet is cooling instead of warming? That the Carbon Tax is a scam (which it is), or the fact that all the wrong questions are being asked, hence all the wrong answers?

    I know that here in the “North Country” of NYS, we have not had snow this year. WTF? People who have been here for generations say they’ve never even HEARD of weather like this in the winter. The Red Maples, the first to spring into bloom, have already set their new buds about 6 weeks ago!! Daffodils and other perrennials are coming up, and have been also for about 6 weeks. Please, let’s look at the Earth and her cues and stop reading this memes, both left, right and otherwise on this very volatile subject. Even if the science was spurious, doesn’t mean that we aren’t seeing what could amount to cataclysmic changes in our weather systems and hence, our climates and micro-climates.

  6. http://www.real-science.com/antarctic-peninsula-sea-ice-double-normal#comment-74816

    just to set some minds at rest, its a bit nippy down south:-)

    Morgana, , what I am on about is that ALL of the current weather events are due to normal variations in global cycles.
    something the agw mob just wont admit and have done their damndest to try and erase nullify in records they use to then make models from..
    the Science was NOT science at all, and thats got a lot of us who actually trusted science rather pissed off.
    yeah its the same lies and crap the pharmas and big agri spin too,
    but thats been at least isolated pockets and manageable for folks to fight back. this bullshit is actually responsible for deaths now and ongoing while anyone “believes” the goracle and his mates.
    the reason youre not getting the usual cold is the arctic blocking and a HUGE cold buildup in Siberia, all the high level wind patterns disrupted, the recent solar flares etc would also be influencing that a bit. Do NOT get complacent, all those buds and green may well cop a killing cold snap in the not too far future, as weather fronts will slide back to usual cold. I see Florida just lost 10 to 20% of its oranges again this year, that makes it 3 years running i think?Iguanas falling out of trees isnt normal either but it happened last year.
    the Billions wasted on warmist claptrap would have far better used to weather proof coastlines and homes, and on REAL pollution like mercury/ agri chem/getting perchlorate and lead out of drinking water,
    providing cheap housing that doesnt cost a bomb due to insane green compliiances and all the new regs.
    notice they Never! promote haybale or mudbrick both far more eco friendly and thermally sane for heat OR cold climes.
    double glazed windows got heaps of promos and funds so did useless wind and solar. while levies an dams went unrepaired or un built, and folks drown or go thirsty.
    Fat Albert and Branson and a pile of other well funded assholes are down in the antarctic crapping on about melting, while as above link shows, 2 miles+ deep ice and more growing is the TRUTH of it.
    but the poor buggers who are snowed in right to their roof lines in Europe do NOT get media time, its against the agenda..to more than gloss over it.
    now work out how a Slow POINT 08 of a DEGREE, of warming over 100years is NOT??? adaptable for plants and animals on a planet thats seen far higher co2 and heat as well as ice ages past?
    this cold snap in Europe will have killed far far more tiny and not so tiny animals as well as farm stock an over 480 humans so far…with more snow etc to come.1
    Like in the Aussie floods last year and this,
    europe like us has fools in power following the UN lines of NO prep at all for cold or any changes but sea levels rising and warmth.
    the ILLUSION that we can stop whatever nature choses to throw at us needs be stopped Fast!
    gates should be locked up if he starts his geoengineering ideas and keeps up with eugenicist agit prop.ditto Hansen and gore and strong and ehrlich and suzuki, all a Cabal of like minded dangerous nasty men.

  7. I am not arguing your point for you, hell, if you’re paranoid it doesn’t mean they aren’t really out to get you!🙂 All I’m saying is there is more than one factor adding to the CO2 and ice issues, all of those you mentioned, and yes, some science is bullshit as science. In fact, I would say that anyone who uses only science to the exclusion of all else is full of bull too. But what I am not getting into with anyone even if dragged is the idea that people are conspiring to throw off mankind from the scent of weather changes, earth changes, etc. People aren’t all that knowledgeable about these issues and are likely to latch onto anyone who says “hey kids, the SCIENCE says….” I’m just not buying into the “they” did this to us. Just go with what Mother is throwing at us and be prepared for all. Why does it just HAVE to be more complicated????????? Both sides, yours and the other side of yours, seem hell bent for leather to make it sooooo complicated, man. Let it be.

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